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Sourya Shrestha, PhD

  • Research Associate

Departmental Affiliations

Center & Institute Affiliations

Contact Information

615 N. Wolfe Street
Room E6133
Baltimore, Maryland 21205


TB Modeling and Translational Epi Group
Center for Tuberculosis Research

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PhD, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 2009


I am interested in developing mathematical and computational models of epidemiology of infectious diseases, and to ultimately use them to design and inform effective public health interventions. Although I maintain interest in the epidemiology of pneumococcus and dengue virus, tuberculosis (TB) is the primary focus of his current research. Some of my recent and ongoing work includes (i) understanding the heterogeneity of TB in the context of targeted interventions; (ii) modeling dynamics and control of domestic TB in the US (in collaboration with the CDC); and (iii) developing models to inform active case finding efforts in Pakistan (in collaboration with IRD), and in Nepal (in collaboration with IMPACT TB team).

  • Tuberculosis
  • Mathematical Modeling

Some of my key recent publications:

  • Shrestha S, Cherng S, Hill AN, Reynolds S, Flood J, Barry PM, Readhead A, Oxtoby M, Lauzardo M, Privett T, Marks SM, Dowdy DW. Impact and Effectiveness of State-level Tuberculosis interventions in California, Florida, New York and Texas: A model-based analysis. Am J Epidemiol. 2019 Jun 28;. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwz147. [Epub ahead of print] PubMed PMID: 31251797.
  • Shrestha S, Chihota V, White RG, Grant AD, Churchyard GJ, Dowdy DW. Impact of Targeted Tuberculosis Vaccination Among a Mining Population in South Africa: A Model-Based Study. Am J Epidemiol. 2017 Dec 15;186(12):1362-1369.
  • Shrestha S, Foxman B, Berus J, van Panhuis WG, Steiner C, Viboud C, Rohani P. The role of influenza in the epidemiology of pneumonia. Sci Rep. 2015 Oct 21;5:15314. doi: 10.1038/srep15314. PubMed PMID: 26486591; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC4614252.
  • Boccia D, Rudgard W, Shrestha S, Lönnroth K, Eckhoff P, Golub J, Sanchez M, Maciel E, Rasella D, Shete P, Pedrazzoli D, Houben R, Chang S, Dowdy D. Modelling the impact of social protection on tuberculosis: the S-PROTECT project. BMC Public Health. 2018 Jun 26;18(1):786. doi: 10.1186/s12889-018-5539-x. PubMed PMID: 29940906; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC6020219.
  • Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P. Statistical inference for multi-pathogen systems. PLoS Comput Biol. 2011 Aug;7(8):e1002135. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002135.