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Justin Lessler, PhD

  • Associate Professor

Departmental Affiliations

  • Epidemiology (Primary)
    • Division: Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Center & Institute Affiliations

Contact Information

615 N. Wolfe Street
Room E6545
Baltimore, Maryland 21205


Infectious Disease Dynamics Group

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MHS, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 2008
PhD, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 2008
MS, Stanford University, 2003
BS, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, 1996


The major focus of my research is the development and application of statistics, dynamic models and novel study designs to better understand and control infectious disease. In particular, I am interested in creating synergies between infection control practice, data collection and infectious disease dynamics. Exemplary of this goal, my collaborators and I have developed methods to estimate the distribution of incubation periods for an infectious disease using coarse data, applied these methods to develop the best available estimates for a number of viruses, and showed how these estimates can be used to improve infection control practice. 

My current research projects include work on the transmission dynamics of influenza in southern China, and the most effective use of vaccine in the control of measles and cholera. 

I am a member of the Infectious Disease Dynamics group.

  • influenza
  • RSV
  • measles
  • cholera
  • infectious disease dynamics
  • Azman, A.*, Luquero, F.J., Rodrigues, A., Palma, P.P., Grais, R.F., Na Banga, C., Grenfell, B.T., Lessler, J. (2012) Urban Cholera Transmission Hotspots and their Implications for Reactive Vaccination: Evidence from Bissau City, Guinea Bissau. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 6:e1901.doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0001901

  • Rainwater-Lovett, K.*, Rodriguez-Barraquer, I.*, Cummings, D.A.T., Lessler, J. (2012) Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis. BMC Infectious Disease [Epub ahead of print]. doi:10.1186/1471-2334-12-233

  • Edlund, S., Davis, M., Douglas, J.V., Kershenbaum, A., Narongrit, W., Lessler, J., Kaufman, J. H. (2012) A global model of malaria climate sensitivity: comparing malaria response to historic climate data based on simulation and officially reported malaria incidence. Malaria Journal [Epub ahead of print].doi:10.1186/1475-2875-11-331

  • Lessler, J., Riley, S., Read, J.M., Wang, S., Zhu, H., Smith, J.D.S., Guan, Y., Jiang, C.Q., Cummings, D.A.T. (2012) Evidence for Antigenic Seniority in Influenza A (H3N2) Antibody Responses in Southern China. PLoS Pathogens 8:e1002802. doi:10.1371/journal.ppat.1002802

  • Read, J.M., Edmunds, W.J., Riley, S., Lessler, J., Cummings, D.A.T. (2012) Close encounters of the infectious kind: methods to measure social mixing behaviour. Epidemiology and Infection 140:2117-2130. doi:10.1017/S0950268812000842