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November 18, 2002

Life Expectancy Following Diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease Depends on Age at Diagnosis

The life span of people with Alzheimer’s disease depends greatly on the age of the person when Alzheimer’s disease is diagnosed, according to a study by researchers at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. Determining the survival following a diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease is important in helping patients, families, and their caregivers deal with the illness. The findings are published in the November 18, 2002, edition of Archives of Neurology.

“The duration of survival following a diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease depends critically on the subject’s age at diagnosis. The results of this study indicate that the median survival of patients with Alzheimer’s disease could range from nearly nine years for persons diagnosed at age 65 to approximately three years for persons diagnosed at age 90 years,” said Ronald Brookmeyer, PhD, professor of biostatistics at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

Data for the study were collected from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging, which began in 1958 to monitor the effects of aging. The participants were asked to return for follow-up visits every two years to be examined and to answer questionnaires. From this study, Dr. Brookmeyer and his colleagues selected 921 participants who were age 55 or older in 1985 and had received some follow-up visits. Alzheimer’s disease was diagnosed using several neuropsychological tests and deaths were recorded through September 1999.

The statistical analysis found that the median survival times ranged from 8.3 years for people diagnosed at age 65 to 3.4 years for people diagnosed at age 90. Persons diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease at age 65 could anticipate a 67 percent reduction in life span compared to those without Alzheimer’s disease, while persons diagnosed at age 90 could anticipate a 39 percent reduction in life span. The researchers say Alzheimer’s disease is associated with a greater proportionate reduction of life span among patients affected at younger ages compared with older ages, presumably because patients at older ages are at higher risk of dying from other causes.

The researchers also reported that the average length of time between the onset of symptoms and the diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease was 2.8 years. However, they did not find any significant differences between men and women in survival after diagnosis of the disease.

“It is projected that in the next 50 years, the prevalence of Alzheimer’s disease will quadruple with approximately 1 in 45 Americans living with the disease. Information on survival following diagnosis is important not only for predicting future prevalence of the disease, but also for planning the resources necessary to care for patients during a life span of increasing difficulty,” said Dr. Brookmeyer.

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“Survival Following Diagnosis of Alzheimer Disease” was written by Ron Brookmeyer, PhD; Maria M. Corrada, ScM; Frank C. Curriero, PhD; and Claudia Kawas, MD. It appears in the November 18 edition of the Archives of Neurology.

The study was supported by a grant from the National Institutes of Health.

Public Affairs Media Contacts for the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health:Tim Parsons or Kenna Brigham @ 410-955-6878 or paffairs@jhsph.edu.